FTA Policies of ASEAN and China and Prospects for a Bialteral FTA between ASEAN and Korea

초록

ASEAN and China are planning to conclude negotiations by 2004 and to effectuate the free trade between the two regions by 2010. The prospects of an ASEAN-China FTA will likely be affected by several factors. First, the FTA policies of China and Japan will act as a crucial factor. Political aspects as well as economic aspects are important in FTAs. From this point of view, as FTA competition between China and Japan intensifies, the promotion of an ASEAN-China FTA will be accelerated. Both parties showed a proactive stance by also agreeing to conclude FTA negotiations by 2004. They may indeed succeed in concluding the negotiations by 2004, but a number of difficulties are expected along the way. The most crucial problem is that ASEAN members may demand many exceptions owing to the gaps among the various members. China may find it difficult to negotiate bilateral negotiations with each of the ten ASEAN countries. Thus, the most ideal scenario with the highest feasibility would be for China to conclude an agreement with ASEAN 6, the six earlier members of ASEAN such as Thailand, Malaysia, and Singapore, and give later members like Vietnam and Cambodia the chance to participate afterwards. 참고사항: - KIEP 주최 국제세미나 - 주제: Rising China and the East Asian Economy - 주요 참석자: 미국(하바드대 Perkins 교수 등), 중국(청화대 후안강 교수 등), 일본(동경대 시게유키 아베 교수 외), 영국(케임브리지대 웨이장 교수) 등 7개국 60여명 참석 - 장소 및 일시: 서울 롯데호텔, 2004년 3월 19-20일