Side Effects of War : Terrorism in the Post-War Period

초록

Iraq has suffered from the proliferation of terrorism under the anarchy that accompanied the Iraq War in 2003. Current research on terrorism has not systematically analyzed post-war terrorist incidents. This research project sought to elaborate why terrorist activities surge after a war and to determine which factors can be attributed to an increase in post-war terrorist incidents by analyzing 47 countries that fought wars from 1970 to 2007. The empirical results demonstrated that pre-war civil and ethnic disputes, severe civil violence, high unemployment, a greater number of internally displaced people, and a greater outflow of refugees to foreign states increase post-war domestic terrorist incidents; moreover, a higher degree of civil violence, a greater number of internationally displaced people, and a greater outflow of refugees to foreign states also increase post-war transnational terrorist incidents. Furthermore, this research project separately analyzed terrorist incidents before and after a war to verify which factors influence only post-war terrorist activities. The empirical results found that higher unemployment, pre-war civil and ethnic conflicts, and a greater outflow of refugees to foreign states play a critical role in increasing only post-war domestic terrorist incidents.

키워드