국내 제조업종에서의 지정폐기물 발생량 예측에 관한 연구

초록

According to “Korea Environment Corporation (KECO): Statistical data of specified waste generation and treatment,”the amount of designated waste generated in 2015 was 4,691,532 tons, which is 51.7% higher than the 3,092,591 tonsgenerated in 2005, and the annual output is steadily increasing by 3.25%. Therefore, in order to properly manage thespecified wastes, it is necessary to divide them according to the type of industry and waste type and to evaluate the trendof specified waste generation in advance and establish a specified waste management plan. However, due to the statisticaldata collection and administrative procedures, the timing of the publication of national statistical data is somewhat delayedafter the actual generation of specified waste. Since the “National Waste Comprehensive Plan” assumes that GDP andmanufacturing output will increase by 4% every year and predicts the amount of specified waste generation in the future,there is a great deal of pressure to use this in the actual field. In this study, we analyzed the correlation between theproduction index, which is an economic index indicating the change in the output of the products produced by the industry,and the specified waste generation amount. Based on the actual production index, the specified waste statistics for 2017were predicted and compared with the estimated amount and the actual amount for the 2010 ~ 2015 period.

키워드